← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.31+3.22vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College0.64+7.78vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.13+1.84vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.36+0.24vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.84+0.61vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.29+1.69vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.15-0.08vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University-0.18+3.77vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania0.49+0.31vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.90vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University0.12-0.37vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University-0.55+0.72vs Predicted
-
14Rollins College1.01-5.34vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island0.14-3.50vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University0.28-4.89vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.22Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
-
9.78Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.84Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
-
4.24Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
-
5.61Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.69Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
-
8.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
-
7.92University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
-
12.77Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.31University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
-
7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
-
11.63Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
13.72Clemson University-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.66Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
11.11North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
-
13.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 17.9% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 13.5% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.5% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Lina Carper | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Grace Jones | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Anna Horton | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 29.7% |
| Annie Samis | 3.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Alma Bewsher | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.