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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.13+3.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.84+3.70vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+1.25vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.29+3.74vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.12+6.60vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.80+3.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania0.49+3.57vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.64+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.15-0.65vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-1.27vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.31-6.46vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.28-0.72vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-5.74vs Predicted
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14Rollins College1.01-5.21vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.18-2.28vs Predicted
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16Clemson University-0.55-2.14vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Yale University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.25Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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7.74Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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8.35University of South Florida1.150.0%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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11.28North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.79Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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12.72Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.86Clemson University-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.43Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Kieding | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Julia Scipione | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Grace Jones | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lina Carper | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Annie Samis | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| Anna Horton | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 30.5% |
| Alma Bewsher | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.