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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+3.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania0.49+7.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+5.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.12+6.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.27vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.29+0.67vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.13-3.08vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.28+2.39vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.84-4.23vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-2.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.64-2.04vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+0.41vs Predicted
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14Rollins College1.01-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.15-6.87vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.18-3.17vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.55-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.35Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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10.48University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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7.67Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.39North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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13.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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8.77Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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12.83Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.88Clemson University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carly Kieding | 14.5% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 6.8% |
| Maddie Janzen | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Alma Bewsher | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 23.0% |
| Annie Samis | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Jones | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| Anna Horton | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.