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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.25vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.01+6.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.13+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.15+4.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73+0.96vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.64+2.85vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.28+2.90vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.29-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.80-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania0.49-0.56vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.36-7.75vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-4.25vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-0.76vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.92-0.62vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.12-4.33vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.72-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.38Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.9North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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7.69Old Dominion University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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4.25Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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13.24Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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14.38Fordham University-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.07Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Samis | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carly Kieding | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 9.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Esther Ireland | 4.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Emily Doble | 17.5% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Alma Bewsher | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| Elfi Van Kuilenburg | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 36.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.