← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.73+2.06vs Predicted
-
2Wake Forest University0.08+2.38vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.05+1.71vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53-1.56vs Predicted
-
5Duke University0.06-0.64vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-0.41-0.71vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.46-1.61vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-0.44vs Predicted
-
9-2.02-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06Clemson University0.7321.8%1st Place
-
4.38Wake Forest University0.0810.5%1st Place
-
4.71University of North Carolina-0.059.2%1st Place
-
2.44North Carolina State University1.5333.1%1st Place
-
4.36Duke University0.069.7%1st Place
-
5.29University of South Carolina-0.416.5%1st Place
-
5.39University of North Carolina-0.466.6%1st Place
-
7.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.2%1st Place
-
7.8-2.021.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 21.8% | 21.9% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hale | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 33.1% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| May Proctor | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 4.1% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 29.8% | 39.4% |
| Jim Wang | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 25.4% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.