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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.21+1.00vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University-2.22+1.19vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.99-0.15vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.40-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of New Hampshire-1.210.5%1st Place
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3.19Sacred Heart University-2.220.1%1st Place
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2.85Bates College-1.990.2%1st Place
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3.34Williams College-2.400.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Peterson | 45.5% | 25.4% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Will Sugerman | 13.0% | 20.1% | 23.0% | 22.6% | 21.3% |
| Colin Kenny | 19.2% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 20.3% | 13.2% |
| Ezra Shapiro | 12.3% | 16.9% | 20.9% | 24.2% | 25.7% |
| Hannah Tracey | 10.0% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 24.7% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.