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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.21+1.00vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University-2.22+1.18vs Predicted
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3Bates College-1.99-0.13vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.63-1.40vs Predicted
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6Williams College-2.40-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of New Hampshire-1.210.5%1st Place
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3.18Sacred Heart University-2.220.1%1st Place
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2.87Bates College-1.990.2%1st Place
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3.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.630.1%1st Place
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3.36Williams College-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Peterson | 45.4% | 26.1% | 15.8% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Will Sugerman | 13.2% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 23.4% | 20.4% |
| Colin Kenny | 19.6% | 21.8% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 14.1% |
| Hannah Tracey | 9.1% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 23.5% | 34.8% |
| Ezra Shapiro | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 24.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.