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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of New Hampshire-1.21+0.20vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University-2.22+0.42vs Predicted
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4Bates College-1.99-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67-2.29vs Predicted
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6Williams College-2.40-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of New Hampshire-1.210.4%1st Place
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3.42Sacred Heart University-2.220.1%1st Place
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3.09Bates College-1.990.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.2%1st Place
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3.58Williams College-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Peterson | 39.2% | 25.5% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Will Sugerman | 11.1% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 24.0% | 27.8% |
| Colin Kenny | 16.0% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| Emma Leblond | 22.6% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 11.5% |
| Ezra Shapiro | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 25.7% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.