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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Sacred Heart University-2.22+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.21-1.81vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.99-1.93vs Predicted
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6Williams College-2.40-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Sacred Heart University-2.220.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.2%1st Place
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2.19University of New Hampshire-1.210.4%1st Place
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3.07Bates College-1.990.2%1st Place
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3.61Williams College-2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sugerman | 12.8% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| Emma Leblond | 21.7% | 24.1% | 23.6% | 19.9% | 10.7% |
| Ian Peterson | 38.9% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| Colin Kenny | 16.3% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 19.9% |
| Ezra Shapiro | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.