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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.21+2.69vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.62+0.93vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.82-1.51vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.40+0.47vs Predicted
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6Bates College-1.99-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.67-2.58vs Predicted
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8Sacred Heart University-2.22-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of New Hampshire-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.93Fairfield University-0.620.1%1st Place
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1.49Fairfield University0.820.6%1st Place
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5.47Williams College-2.400.0%1st Place
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4.9Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.670.0%1st Place
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5.09Sacred Heart University-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Peterson | 8.3% | 19.1% | 20.0% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Michael Cunniff | 14.4% | 26.9% | 28.6% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 64.9% | 24.2% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ezra Shapiro | 1.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 22.5% | 36.6% |
| Colin Kenny | 3.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 21.5% | 19.8% |
| Emma Leblond | 4.0% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 11.7% |
| Will Sugerman | 3.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.