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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina0.22+0.10vs Predicted
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3Duke University-1.61+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.34vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.04-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-2.19-0.13vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.80-1.77vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.19-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47North Carolina State University-0.0526.8%1st Place
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2.1University of North Carolina0.2241.2%1st Place
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5.08Duke University-1.615.5%1st Place
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5.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.614.5%1st Place
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3.99Clemson University-1.0411.1%1st Place
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5.87University of North Carolina-2.192.8%1st Place
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5.23University of South Carolina-1.804.6%1st Place
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5.91Wake Forest University-2.193.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddison Carew | 26.8% | 32.0% | 20.6% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 41.2% | 27.0% | 18.6% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 11.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| Jamie Robertson | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 27.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.0% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.