← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Hillsdale College-2.92-0.07vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-4.39+0.27vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-2.97-2.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Toledo-3.88-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.93Hillsdale College-2.920.4%1st Place
-
3.27Miami University-4.390.1%1st Place
-
2.0Ohio State University-2.970.4%1st Place
-
2.8University of Toledo-3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alya MacManaway | 41.1% | 32.6% | 18.9% | 7.4% |
| Joey Elbana | 8.2% | 12.2% | 24.5% | 55.1% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 36.7% | 34.4% | 20.7% | 8.2% |
| Nick Armantrout | 14.0% | 20.8% | 35.9% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.