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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.22+1.13vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+0.52vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.31vs Predicted
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4Duke University-1.61+1.06vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-1.04-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.19-1.14vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.19-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of North Carolina0.2238.5%1st Place
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2.52North Carolina State University-0.0529.0%1st Place
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5.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.615.0%1st Place
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5.06Duke University-1.615.1%1st Place
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3.9Clemson University-1.0411.5%1st Place
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5.29University of South Carolina-1.804.8%1st Place
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5.86University of North Carolina-2.193.1%1st Place
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5.92Wake Forest University-2.193.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 38.5% | 30.3% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 29.0% | 27.7% | 20.5% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Williams | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| William Robertson | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 11.6% |
| Jamie Robertson | 11.5% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 25.3% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.