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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+2.53vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.79+0.80vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+1.23vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.45-0.72vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.29-1.31vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.94-0.01vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.63-0.17vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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4.53University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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3.8Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.23North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.28Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.69Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.83Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 42.0% | 26.1% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.4% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 4.9% |
| Eva DeCastro | 10.9% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 29.5% | 25.2% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 18.1% | 56.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.