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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.20vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.29+2.90vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.45+1.44vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.45+0.22vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.20vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79-2.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-1.43vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.94-1.12vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.63-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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4.44Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.22University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.2North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.73Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.86Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 41.3% | 26.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 6.2% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.2% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 6.7% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 15.5% | 28.7% | 24.5% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 19.5% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.