← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.83+1.15vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.79+1.97vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University0.45+1.42vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.29+0.57vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.39vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.45-1.63vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami-0.94-0.05vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.05-2.67vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-1.63-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.15College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
-
3.97Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.42Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
-
4.57Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
-
5.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
-
4.37University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
-
6.95University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
-
5.33North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
-
7.86Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 43.2% | 25.1% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.8% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 29.9% | 23.6% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 18.0% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.