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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.79+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+2.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.83-0.83vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.29+0.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+0.41vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.45-1.65vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.05-1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.94-1.11vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.63-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Jacksonville University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.58University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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2.17College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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4.56Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.35Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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5.41North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.85Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 41.4% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 6.0% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 29.5% | 24.1% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 19.8% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.