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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.15vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.79+1.92vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+1.43vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.05+1.26vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.29-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.49vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.45-2.61vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.63-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.94-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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3.92Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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4.43University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.26North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.57Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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4.39Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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7.87Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 42.8% | 26.0% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.9% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Mason | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 6.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 17.6% | 57.9% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 29.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.