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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.22+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+3.30vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05-0.54vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.04-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.80+0.23vs Predicted
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6Duke University-1.61-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-2.19-1.11vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University-2.19-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of North Carolina0.2238.0%1st Place
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5.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.615.0%1st Place
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2.46North Carolina State University-0.0531.1%1st Place
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3.96Clemson University-1.0410.2%1st Place
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5.23University of South Carolina-1.805.2%1st Place
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5.12Duke University-1.614.3%1st Place
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5.89University of North Carolina-2.193.4%1st Place
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5.91Wake Forest University-2.193.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 38.0% | 31.1% | 17.3% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 31.1% | 26.2% | 21.4% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Robertson | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| William Robertson | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 26.8% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.