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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.83+1.15vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.45+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+1.45vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+1.44vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05+0.18vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.79-2.29vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-1.63+0.88vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.29-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.94-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15College of Charleston1.830.4%1st Place
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4.56Columbia University0.450.1%1st Place
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4.45University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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5.18North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.88Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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4.73Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Shakespeare | 41.6% | 26.8% | 16.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 5.9% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 57.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 29.4% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.