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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.45+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+2.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.04vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.79-0.91vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.05-0.28vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.29-1.93vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston-0.72-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.94-1.48vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.63-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Columbia University0.450.2%1st Place
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4.0University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.09Jacksonville University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.72North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.07Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Miami-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.6Florida State University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva DeCastro | 18.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 13.0% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 4.6% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 24.2% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucy Elvart | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 21.5% | 13.9% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 23.1% | 21.8% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.