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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.53+4.45vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.24+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.08+1.20vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.93+0.50vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+0.11vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.49-0.51vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.60-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36-2.22vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.60-3.80vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-1.16vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.60-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.93-2.43vs Predicted
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14Auburn University-1.20-4.55vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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3.82Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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4.2University of Miami1.080.1%1st Place
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4.5Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.11Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.49Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.78University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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8.84Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.01Florida Institute of Technology-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.45Auburn University-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.57College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Knowles | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 18.6% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 14.2% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyan Clark | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 24.4% | 25.1% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 33.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 10.6% | 80.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.