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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.53+4.46vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.08+2.21vs Predicted
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3Rollins College1.24+0.83vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.17vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.93-0.52vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.49-0.50vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.60-1.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.60-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.36-4.21vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.13vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-1.20-2.68vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-1.60-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93-3.33vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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3.83Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.17Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.5Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.2Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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8.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.32Auburn University-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.95Florida Institute of Technology-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.57College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Knowles | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 15.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 17.4% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 11.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyan Clark | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 24.3% | 22.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 37.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| James Nave | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 10.2% | 80.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.