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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.53+4.41vs Predicted
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2Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+3.23vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+2.32vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.93+0.48vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.24-1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.08-1.86vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.49-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36-2.25vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.60-4.68vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.17vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-1.20-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.93-2.40vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-3.72-1.47vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.60-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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5.23Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.32Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.48Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.77Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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5.45Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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5.32Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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8.83Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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9.3Auburn University-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.53College of Coastal Georgia-3.720.0%1st Place
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10.19Florida Institute of Technology-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Knowles | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 19.9% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 15.4% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 11.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 32.5% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| James Nave | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 79.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyan Clark | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 29.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.