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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+0.96vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.33+0.43vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.27+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.11+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.40-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.98-0.38vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.31-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Western Washington University1.8142.4%1st Place
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2.43Western Washington University1.3328.1%1st Place
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4.84Oregon State University-0.274.8%1st Place
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4.53University of Oregon0.116.5%1st Place
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4.87University of Oregon-0.404.9%1st Place
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5.62University of Oregon-0.983.0%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University0.3110.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leif Hauge | 42.4% | 31.7% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Adam Turloff | 28.1% | 29.4% | 22.8% | 13.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
Emily Avey | 6.5% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 21.6% | 12.8% |
Rowan Clinch | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 23.2% | 19.1% |
Euseekers Williams | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 44.0% |
Ellie Blakemore | 10.4% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.