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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+8.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+5.17vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+4.38vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.50+2.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45+1.76vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.71-0.46vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.90+1.44vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.39-1.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-2.86vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.28-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.64vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-6.21vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-5.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.54Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.19Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.36Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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9.79Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Megan Magill | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 26.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.