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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.22+1.16vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-1.04+2.02vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05-0.53vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-2.19+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.32vs Predicted
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6Duke University-1.61-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.80-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.19-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of North Carolina0.2238.1%1st Place
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4.02Clemson University-1.0410.8%1st Place
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2.47North Carolina State University-0.0528.7%1st Place
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5.91Wake Forest University-2.193.2%1st Place
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5.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.615.4%1st Place
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5.08Duke University-1.614.7%1st Place
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5.25University of South Carolina-1.804.6%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina-2.194.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 38.1% | 30.0% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Robertson | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Maddison Carew | 28.7% | 27.9% | 23.1% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 27.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| William Robertson | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 11.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.