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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.60+4.70vs Predicted
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2Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+3.46vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology0.30+3.36vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.08+0.46vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.93-0.27vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.53-0.22vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.60-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.36-1.89vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.10vs Predicted
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10Rollins College1.24-6.13vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.49-5.12vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.93-1.16vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.20-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.46Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.36Florida Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Miami1.080.1%1st Place
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4.73Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.78Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.11University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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9.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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3.87Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.88Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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9.72Auburn University-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Hanus | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Thran | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 19.5% | 26.6% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 19.2% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 19.4% | 58.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 31.3% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.