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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.93+3.82vs Predicted
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2Rollins College1.24+2.02vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.36+2.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.53+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.08-1.61vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.64vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.60-2.39vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-1.20+0.61vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology0.30-3.80vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.49-5.20vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.93-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.02Rollins College1.240.2%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Florida0.360.1%1st Place
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5.78Jacksonville University0.530.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Miami1.080.2%1st Place
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5.36Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.61Jacksonville University0.600.1%1st Place
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9.61Auburn University-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.2Florida Institute of Technology0.300.1%1st Place
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5.8Eckerd College0.490.1%1st Place
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9.35Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Thran | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 16.4% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zach O'connor | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Knowles | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Black | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Darby Smith | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Dow | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 30.5% | 22.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Hanus | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 27.6% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 9.9% | 19.7% | 57.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.