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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.31+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.97+4.76vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.18+1.07vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+2.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.49-1.60vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.18-1.93vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.66+1.32vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.17-3.94vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.49-3.49vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-1.04-5.11vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.82-4.38vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-3.11-2.75vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.43-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Rollins College0.310.2%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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6.7Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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8.32Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University0.170.2%1st Place
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5.51Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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9.97Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.89University of South Florida-1.040.1%1st Place
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8.62Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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11.69College of Coastal Georgia-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kinnear | 17.2% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harbor Scheuermann | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles McGucken | 22.5% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ellison | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hinchley | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 28.8% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
| Mia Petritz | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 24.0% | 47.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.