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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.18+3.04vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.31+1.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.17+1.11vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.18+0.04vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.49-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.97+0.61vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-2.41+2.97vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-1.04-1.21vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.49-3.47vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-3.29vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-1.82-2.32vs Predicted
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13College of Coastal Georgia-3.43-1.42vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-3.11-2.75vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-1.66-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Jacksonville University0.180.2%1st Place
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3.77Rollins College0.310.2%1st Place
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4.11Jacksonville University0.170.1%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University0.180.2%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University0.490.2%1st Place
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6.61University of Miami-0.970.1%1st Place
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9.97Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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6.79University of South Florida-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.53Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.71Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.68Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.58College of Coastal Georgia-3.430.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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8.58Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Mattice | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 17.8% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ellison | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles McGucken | 21.7% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harbor Scheuermann | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hinchley | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Petritz | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 24.4% | 44.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 27.4% | 35.7% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.