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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.18+3.05vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.49+1.43vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.18+1.05vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.31-0.19vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+1.74vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-2.41+3.84vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-1.66+1.32vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.17-3.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-1.04-2.12vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.49-4.36vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-1.82-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Miami-0.97-5.43vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-3.11-1.76vs Predicted
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15College of Coastal Georgia-3.43-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Jacksonville University0.180.2%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University0.180.2%1st Place
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3.81Rollins College0.310.2%1st Place
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6.74Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.84Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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8.32Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University0.170.2%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.64Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Miami-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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11.72College of Coastal Georgia-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Mattice | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles McGucken | 21.5% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 23.6% | 22.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ellison | 17.1% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hinchley | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Harbor Scheuermann | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 27.9% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Petritz | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 12.0% | 23.5% | 49.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.