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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.31+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Miami-0.97+4.75vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.18+1.10vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.49-0.54vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-2.41+4.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.18-1.90vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.17-2.97vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.42vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.66-0.62vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.49-4.35vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-1.82-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida-1.04-6.27vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-3.43-2.28vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-3.11-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Rollins College0.310.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Miami-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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3.46Jacksonville University0.490.2%1st Place
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9.83Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University0.170.2%1st Place
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6.58Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.38Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.65Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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8.68Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.73University of South Florida-1.040.0%1st Place
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11.72College of Coastal Georgia-3.430.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Kinnear | 17.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harbor Scheuermann | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles McGucken | 20.8% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 20.7% | 24.3% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ellison | 15.9% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hinchley | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Petritz | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 50.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 29.2% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.