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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.18+3.08vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.17+2.06vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.31+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.97+2.74vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+1.61vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.49-2.64vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.49-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-1.04-1.31vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-1.66-0.82vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-0.34vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.18-6.92vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-3.11-1.16vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-1.82-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University0.170.1%1st Place
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3.74Rollins College0.310.2%1st Place
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6.74University of Miami-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.61Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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3.36Jacksonville University0.490.2%1st Place
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5.44Eckerd College-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.69University of South Florida-1.040.1%1st Place
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8.18Florida Institute of Technology-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.66Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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4.08Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Central Florida-3.110.0%1st Place
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8.61Auburn University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Mattice | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Ellison | 14.7% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Kinnear | 18.2% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harbor Scheuermann | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hjort | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles McGucken | 22.9% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anderson Osinski | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Garrett | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Covell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 26.2% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 14.9% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Benavides | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 18.5% | 58.3% | 0.0% |
| Evan Hinchley | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.