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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
6.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-1.39+12.74vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.38+8.02vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.93+5.41vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.04+7.11vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.68+3.29vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon1.51-0.36vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.62-1.80vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.62-0.51vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University2.20-6.58vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.48-5.24vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.08-4.93vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.88-8.39vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.69-8.74vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.60-6.52vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.19-12.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.74Western Washington University-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.02Western Washington University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Washington0.680.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Oregon1.510.1%1st Place
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6.2Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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9.49Western Washington University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.42Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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6.76Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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8.07Western Washington University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Martin | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 66.5% |
| Nick Etscheid | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 5.7% |
| Ted Alley | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Laura Marshall | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 12.9% |
| Michael Mallory | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 11.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Shank | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 3.3% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Martin | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Krzeszowski | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Antles | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Forcade | 16.3% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.