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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.22+1.08vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.32vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-1.04-0.03vs Predicted
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5Wake Forest University-2.19+0.83vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80-0.80vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.61-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.19-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08University of North Carolina0.2240.2%1st Place
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2.5North Carolina State University-0.0527.9%1st Place
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5.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.614.8%1st Place
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3.97Clemson University-1.0410.0%1st Place
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5.83Wake Forest University-2.193.5%1st Place
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5.2University of South Carolina-1.806.0%1st Place
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5.15Duke University-1.615.0%1st Place
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5.94University of North Carolina-2.192.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 40.2% | 29.6% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 27.9% | 29.0% | 20.8% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 4.8% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Jamie Robertson | 10.0% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 26.6% |
| Tyler Williams | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 13.4% |
| William Robertson | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 12.6% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.