Race 1A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marguerite Bowen 6.5% 5.4% 7.5% 8.5% 8.7% 11.9% 12.0% 15.9% 15.9% 7.7%
Leonardo Burnham 31.1% 24.6% 15.4% 12.0% 8.8% 4.7% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Case 20.1% 21.2% 16.6% 15.2% 11.1% 8.1% 5.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Zach Earnshaw 6.3% 9.6% 11.9% 11.1% 11.2% 12.9% 13.4% 11.7% 9.7% 2.2%
John O'Connell 7.8% 7.3% 8.9% 8.7% 10.9% 12.9% 13.8% 12.2% 13.2% 4.3%
Sean Morrison 9.7% 8.0% 10.2% 12.1% 12.3% 11.2% 12.7% 12.1% 8.8% 2.9%
Tiernan O'Kane 6.0% 9.2% 10.3% 11.5% 14.0% 12.5% 11.9% 12.5% 9.3% 2.8%
Jack Whitman 6.4% 7.0% 10.2% 9.5% 11.1% 12.2% 13.2% 12.2% 13.6% 4.6%
Adam Oppenheimer 1.1% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 6.6% 11.1% 67.5%
Bailey Kreszswick 5.0% 6.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.0% 10.5% 12.1% 14.5% 17.3% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.