Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zach Earnshaw 8.7% 8.7% 10.3% 10.9% 13.6% 10.5% 12.5% 13.0% 9.3% 2.5%
Jack Whitman 7.3% 6.2% 8.7% 9.9% 9.3% 14.8% 12.7% 13.3% 13.0% 4.8%
Leonardo Burnham 29.9% 23.4% 18.7% 12.8% 8.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Tiernan O'Kane 7.6% 8.7% 10.0% 10.9% 12.6% 13.7% 13.3% 11.0% 9.2% 3.0%
Charles Case 20.8% 21.4% 17.0% 15.8% 9.6% 6.6% 5.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Bailey Kreszswick 7.0% 5.3% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 11.8% 11.6% 14.4% 17.3% 7.8%
Sean Morrison 6.5% 9.1% 10.8% 13.1% 11.1% 12.4% 14.2% 10.3% 9.3% 3.2%
John O'Connell 6.3% 9.0% 8.8% 10.1% 11.7% 11.2% 11.5% 14.7% 12.3% 4.4%
Marguerite Bowen 4.8% 7.4% 6.3% 7.0% 10.9% 12.2% 13.0% 13.9% 16.8% 7.7%
Adam Oppenheimer 1.1% 0.8% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.5% 6.9% 11.5% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.