Race 4A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Case 23.1% 20.2% 16.5% 13.4% 10.5% 8.2% 3.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3%
John O'Connell 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 11.5% 12.0% 11.5% 12.3% 13.6% 12.5% 5.3%
Zach Earnshaw 7.3% 9.4% 9.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.1% 14.8% 12.8% 8.5% 2.9%
Bailey Kreszswick 4.1% 5.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.3% 12.6% 12.3% 15.6% 15.4% 6.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 7.8% 9.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.3% 13.5% 13.0% 11.3% 8.5% 3.9%
Jack Whitman 7.2% 8.4% 8.4% 9.2% 11.9% 12.0% 12.1% 12.2% 14.1% 4.5%
Sean Morrison 7.6% 7.3% 12.5% 11.1% 13.7% 12.6% 12.8% 11.3% 9.4% 1.7%
Marguerite Bowen 4.8% 6.9% 7.8% 8.1% 9.9% 11.7% 12.0% 13.2% 17.8% 7.8%
Adam Oppenheimer 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 1.8% 4.7% 5.9% 12.5% 66.8%
Leonardo Burnham 30.3% 24.8% 17.7% 12.6% 7.0% 4.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.