Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Leonardo Burnham 32.8% 23.0% 16.1% 12.0% 7.8% 4.9% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Charles Case 20.9% 20.2% 17.7% 14.8% 10.9% 7.9% 4.2% 1.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Tiernan O'Kane 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 10.1% 11.5% 14.4% 13.9% 10.9% 10.2% 3.3%
Zach Earnshaw 6.1% 10.0% 11.1% 12.3% 11.8% 12.4% 13.5% 9.9% 10.2% 2.7%
Marguerite Bowen 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 8.1% 9.2% 9.1% 13.6% 16.1% 17.2% 6.6%
John O'Connell 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 10.9% 11.3% 12.4% 11.3% 13.3% 12.6% 5.1%
Jack Whitman 5.4% 7.8% 9.8% 8.8% 11.9% 12.1% 15.3% 12.5% 11.8% 4.6%
Sean Morrison 7.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.3% 12.8% 12.5% 11.6% 11.8% 9.2% 2.5%
Bailey Kreszswick 5.2% 5.4% 7.9% 9.8% 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 15.7% 15.7% 7.7%
Adam Oppenheimer 1.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 6.9% 11.3% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.