Race 6A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charles Case 22.6% 22.1% 14.5% 13.9% 11.9% 7.6% 3.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Leonardo Burnham 31.5% 23.2% 17.9% 12.7% 8.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 8.0% 8.7% 10.0% 11.0% 11.1% 14.7% 13.9% 10.6% 9.2% 2.8%
Zach Earnshaw 6.2% 9.4% 11.7% 12.9% 12.8% 12.0% 12.6% 10.6% 9.3% 2.5%
Bailey Kreszswick 6.4% 5.7% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6% 10.5% 13.7% 15.4% 17.2% 5.8%
Marguerite Bowen 6.8% 5.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.8% 12.5% 12.3% 12.9% 17.2% 7.6%
John O'Connell 5.3% 8.0% 10.5% 9.6% 11.8% 12.3% 15.0% 12.4% 10.8% 4.3%
Tiernan O'Kane 7.1% 10.5% 10.4% 11.3% 12.0% 13.2% 12.0% 11.8% 8.9% 2.8%
Gabrielle Ahitow 5.2% 5.7% 8.0% 9.6% 11.4% 10.6% 12.2% 15.1% 15.1% 7.1%
Adam Oppenheimer 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.5% 7.6% 10.6% 66.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.