Race 7A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bailey Kreszswick 5.6% 7.1% 7.5% 9.5% 9.7% 10.5% 11.9% 14.3% 16.3% 7.6%
Charles Case 21.4% 19.8% 17.6% 14.4% 12.1% 7.2% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 8.3% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 13.3% 12.6% 12.6% 11.4% 10.3% 2.8%
Tiernan O'Kane 7.4% 9.0% 10.4% 12.5% 12.0% 13.2% 12.0% 11.3% 9.4% 2.8%
Gabrielle Ahitow 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 8.5% 10.1% 10.8% 13.3% 16.4% 13.9% 6.8%
Leonardo Burnham 32.2% 22.8% 18.1% 12.0% 7.7% 4.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 7.1% 7.9% 11.7% 12.9% 10.7% 13.9% 14.1% 11.3% 7.1% 3.3%
John O'Connell 5.9% 8.8% 10.0% 9.5% 11.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.4% 12.0% 4.4%
Marguerite Bowen 5.2% 6.4% 6.9% 9.2% 10.3% 11.7% 13.5% 13.1% 16.7% 7.0%
Adam Oppenheimer 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.4% 6.8% 13.2% 65.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.