Race 1B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Evan Tofolo 21.4% 16.5% 16.2% 14.8% 13.0% 8.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Hal Johnson 14.9% 14.0% 16.5% 15.2% 13.9% 15.1% 7.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Daniel van Heeckeren 24.8% 22.7% 18.7% 15.0% 9.6% 6.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Julian Bokulich 1.6% 2.4% 3.2% 2.5% 4.5% 7.5% 14.3% 38.3% 21.1% 4.6%
Wilfred Hynes 6.5% 8.0% 8.5% 8.8% 12.4% 14.5% 22.6% 14.1% 4.2% 0.4%
Jacob Lentz 15.1% 14.1% 14.5% 14.0% 16.0% 13.2% 8.3% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Henry Gesing 6.3% 10.0% 9.8% 13.8% 14.4% 16.5% 17.0% 10.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Aadi Sethi 8.5% 11.5% 11.1% 14.9% 13.9% 14.6% 16.1% 7.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Christopher Jenkins 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 2.5% 7.4% 26.4% 59.7%
Maia Wang 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.6% 2.9% 2.9% 11.9% 43.5% 35.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.