Race 2B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Evan Tofolo 19.7% 18.0% 17.7% 12.8% 13.8% 8.9% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Hal Johnson 14.3% 15.2% 16.1% 15.4% 13.5% 14.2% 7.7% 3.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Henry Gesing 8.0% 8.4% 9.6% 11.7% 12.6% 18.8% 19.2% 9.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Daniel van Heeckeren 27.0% 22.0% 18.3% 14.5% 9.8% 5.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Wilfred Hynes 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 16.8% 20.9% 14.5% 4.4% 0.4%
Aadi Sethi 9.6% 10.6% 10.4% 13.5% 16.5% 13.6% 15.8% 8.6% 1.4% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 11.6% 15.2% 14.9% 17.2% 16.3% 11.8% 9.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Julian Bokulich 1.8% 2.4% 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 7.3% 12.9% 38.1% 20.8% 4.7%
Christopher Jenkins 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 2.3% 7.6% 26.6% 59.8%
Maia Wang 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 12.3% 42.8% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.