Race 3B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Daniel van Heeckeren 30.0% 22.4% 16.7% 12.6% 9.4% 5.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Tofolo 17.6% 21.9% 15.4% 15.4% 13.0% 10.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Hal Johnson 15.4% 13.9% 17.0% 17.8% 16.7% 10.5% 6.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 13.4% 14.7% 16.7% 18.1% 14.1% 13.0% 7.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Aadi Sethi 9.9% 10.3% 13.3% 13.3% 15.6% 17.9% 12.7% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Julian Bokulich 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.0% 4.9% 9.1% 18.5% 31.3% 19.0% 4.5%
Henry Gesing 7.5% 9.6% 11.7% 12.7% 16.5% 17.4% 15.8% 7.0% 1.4% 0.4%
Grace Kokkotos 2.8% 3.2% 4.9% 4.7% 7.7% 11.5% 22.4% 28.4% 12.1% 2.3%
Maia Wang 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.7% 6.0% 12.2% 40.2% 34.7%
Christopher Jenkins 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 2.1% 3.7% 8.5% 25.5% 57.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.