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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+0.80vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University1.95+0.54vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+0.27vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.75-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.45-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.5%1st Place
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2.54Monmouth University1.950.2%1st Place
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3.27Villanova University1.240.1%1st Place
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2.75Drexel University1.750.2%1st Place
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4.64University of Delaware-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 48.6% | 29.8% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Paul Stevens | 21.3% | 29.0% | 27.7% | 18.8% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 11.2% | 14.0% | 22.0% | 41.7% | 11.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 17.5% | 23.9% | 29.5% | 24.3% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.