← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina0.22+1.16vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+3.37vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.05-0.53vs Predicted
-
4Duke University-1.61+1.06vs Predicted
-
5Wake Forest University-2.19+0.86vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-1.04-2.02vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-1.80-1.76vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina-2.19-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.16University of North Carolina0.2237.8%1st Place
-
5.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.615.7%1st Place
-
2.47North Carolina State University-0.0529.2%1st Place
-
5.06Duke University-1.615.5%1st Place
-
5.86Wake Forest University-2.193.8%1st Place
-
3.98Clemson University-1.049.7%1st Place
-
5.24University of South Carolina-1.805.2%1st Place
-
5.86University of North Carolina-2.193.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Jost | 37.8% | 29.7% | 18.4% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 29.2% | 29.1% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% |
| Caroline Rice | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 27.0% |
| Jamie Robertson | 9.7% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.4% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.