Race 4B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jacob Lentz 15.3% 16.7% 14.4% 14.1% 14.8% 13.5% 7.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Evan Tofolo 19.1% 18.1% 16.7% 16.8% 13.5% 10.0% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Kokkotos 3.0% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 7.8% 10.5% 23.3% 29.2% 12.3% 2.7%
Henry Gesing 7.6% 9.3% 11.4% 14.1% 15.8% 18.8% 14.3% 7.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Hal Johnson 15.8% 15.8% 17.1% 16.6% 14.0% 11.3% 6.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 28.7% 23.3% 17.7% 14.4% 9.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Aadi Sethi 8.0% 10.9% 13.3% 13.8% 16.6% 18.0% 12.9% 5.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Julian Bokulich 1.9% 1.9% 4.6% 3.8% 5.6% 9.1% 20.8% 29.5% 19.2% 3.6%
Maia Wang 0.3% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 5.6% 13.8% 38.6% 35.3%
Christopher Jenkins 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 2.7% 3.7% 7.0% 26.3% 58.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.