Race 5B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Henry Gesing 9.3% 9.5% 10.0% 11.7% 12.3% 17.4% 17.2% 10.3% 1.9% 0.4%
Julian Bokulich 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 13.0% 36.7% 23.0% 4.5%
Evan Tofolo 16.9% 17.5% 15.3% 17.5% 14.1% 9.8% 6.3% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Hal Johnson 14.7% 16.6% 16.1% 14.9% 14.7% 12.1% 7.5% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Aadi Sethi 9.4% 10.0% 11.4% 11.5% 17.1% 14.6% 15.2% 9.1% 1.7% 0.0%
Wilfred Hynes 7.5% 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 12.2% 17.1% 21.4% 14.6% 3.6% 0.2%
Jacob Lentz 12.4% 13.1% 17.3% 15.8% 13.8% 14.4% 9.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 27.0% 21.9% 18.5% 15.0% 9.0% 4.3% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Maia Wang 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 2.4% 4.1% 11.9% 41.6% 36.0%
Christopher Jenkins 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 2.8% 7.8% 26.8% 58.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.