Race 6B

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Wilfred Hynes 7.6% 9.3% 10.8% 9.0% 11.2% 15.0% 18.9% 14.2% 3.4% 0.6%
Henry Gesing 8.7% 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 13.4% 17.2% 14.2% 9.3% 2.5% 0.3%
Aadi Sethi 10.5% 11.6% 10.5% 11.7% 16.7% 15.3% 15.4% 6.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Evan Tofolo 20.5% 19.2% 17.6% 15.8% 13.2% 6.6% 5.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
James Beaulieu 23.4% 19.6% 18.7% 15.0% 10.1% 7.6% 3.8% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jacob Lentz 18.3% 13.9% 14.5% 16.9% 13.7% 11.6% 6.7% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Milo Baumgartner 7.9% 11.4% 11.3% 13.9% 14.3% 14.9% 16.1% 7.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Julian Bokulich 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 3.8% 5.2% 7.6% 13.6% 35.5% 21.0% 4.2%
Maia Wang 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.7% 3.4% 12.0% 41.3% 36.1%
Christopher Jenkins 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 7.7% 27.3% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.