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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.60+3.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.11+1.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+1.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.35+5.06vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.37+3.86vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+4.17vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.44+4.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+0.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-4.43vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.89-2.89vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.29-1.90vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.23-1.15vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.70-5.32vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.53-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.26-3.94vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.75-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Bowdoin College1.600.1%1st Place
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3.68Boston College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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9.06Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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8.86SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont-0.440.0%1st Place
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8.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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4.57Tufts University1.730.2%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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7.68Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.65Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.06University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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12.58The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucca Antonietti | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tor Svendsen | 21.5% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Charlie Walton | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 15.5% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matteo Asscher | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.6% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Skye Johnson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| Camden Hom | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.