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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.29+7.97vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.60+2.89vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.11+0.63vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.23+7.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.73-0.37vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.92vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.26+4.00vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+1.97vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.74-4.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.70-2.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34-2.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.35-3.08vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.53-1.28vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.89-6.99vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.75-2.49vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.44-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College1.600.1%1st Place
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3.63Boston College2.110.2%1st Place
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11.01SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
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4.63Tufts University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.0University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.58Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College0.700.1%1st Place
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8.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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11.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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12.51The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont-0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Asscher | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tor Svendsen | 22.4% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 14.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Devon Owen | 15.1% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Reischmann | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Luke Kenahan | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Skye Johnson | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 17.4% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Camden Hom | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 26.7% |
| Charlie Walton | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.