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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.11+2.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.35+7.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.89+4.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.74+0.75vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.60+0.03vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+4.38vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.05vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.73-4.35vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.59vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.29-2.70vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.70-5.18vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.75-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-3.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.23-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Boston College2.110.2%1st Place
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9.02Boston University0.350.0%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College1.600.1%1st Place
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10.38Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University1.730.2%1st Place
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11.22University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.41Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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9.3Boston University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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12.54The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Vermont-0.440.0%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tor Svendsen | 22.3% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buck Rathbun | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Devon Owen | 12.9% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Richardsson | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% |
| Alistair Knoblauch | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Matteo Asscher | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Noah Reischmann | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Camden Hom | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 29.9% |
| Charlie Walton | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.